Tuesday, February 8, 2011

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US wheat, soybean rise; corn loses on profit-taking

  • Tuesday, February 8, 2011
  • Thùy Miên
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  • * Wheat extends gains on exports, USDA, frigid crop weather




     * Soybean climbs on dry-hit Argentina's soy crop concerns




     * Corn eases on profit-taking; in long-term seen bullish




     	








     By Cho Mee-young




     SEOUL, Feb 8 (Reuters) - U.S. wheat prices rose slightly on
    Tuesday, extending previous session's gains on news the world's
    top buyer Egypt had returned to the market and expectations that
    the USDA would trim its estimate for wheat ending stocks.




     Forecasts for more frigid crop weather in the United States
    also supported wheat prices.




     "Views of many market participants who are waiting for
    USDA's supply-demand data on Wednesday are quite bullish about
    the market," said Kazuhiko Saito, chief commodities analyst at
    Fujitomi Co Ltd in Tokyo.




     The U.S. Department of Agriculture is due to release its
    monthly supply-demand report on Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by
    Reuters expected USDA to lower its forecasts of 2010/11 U.S. and
    world ending stocks for wheat, corn and soybeans.




     U.S. Plains and the Midwest are likely to experience
    freezing cold weather this week, which will add stress to the
    dormant wheat crop and continue to hamper grains transportation,
    a forecaster said.




     Egypt has said wheat shipments had been arriving with no
    delays at ports. The main state wheat buyer bought 170,000
    tonnes of soft wheat on Saturday, returning to global markets at
    a time of uprising, after an absence of nearly a month, though
    the country does not face grain shortages, trade and shipping
    sources had said.




     "While supplies are not clear due to political turmoil in
    North Africa and drought in the Middle East, wheat demand in
    those regions are firm," Leo Baek, analyst at KEB Futures in
    Seoul, said.




     	




     EYES ON U.S. REPORT	




     Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) wheat for March delivery 
    climbed 0.32 percent to $8.61-1/2 per bushel by 0422 GMT after
    it settled up 5 cents at $8.58-3/4 per bushel on Monday.




     Soybeans for March delivery rose 0.19 percent to
    $14.27-1/4 per bushel, reversing Monday's 9-cent loss at
    $14.24-1/2 a bushel.




     Corn for March delivery declined 0.11 percent to $6.74
    per bushel, extending losses as the contract ended down 3-3/4
    cents at $6.74-3/4 a bushel on Monday, after reaching $6.82-1/2,
    the highest spot corn price since July 2008.




     "While corn contracts are easing on shot-term profit-taking,
    corn and soybean prices are expected to rally in a longer term
    on expectation for strong Chinese demand amid expected tight
    supplies," Baek at KEB Futures said.




     The state of global crops, pummeled by rains and drought
    from Australia to Russia, will headline a U.S. government report
    this week at a time when surging grain prices have stoked global
    food inflation. U.S. corn ending stocks are already forecast as
    the tightest in 15 years.




     Rains over the last day in Argentina replenished soils and
    rejuvenated soy crops in farming areas where dryness had
    lingered, an agricultural meteorologist said Monday. Argentina
    is the world's No. 3 supplier of soybeans and the top supplier
    of soyoil and soymeal.




     Traders will be looking to see if the USDA revises down its
    crop estimates for Argentina, a top exporter of corn and soy
    that had been suffering from dry weather until recently.




     Crude oil prices edged down on Tuesday as transit through
    the Suez Canal remained unaffected by the political turmoil in
    Egypt, while expectations of a build-up in U.S. crude stocks
    weighed.




     U.S. March crude slipped 24 cents to $87.24 a barrel
    at 0354 GMT, and ICE Brent eased 8 cents to $99.17 a
    barrel.




     	
    Grains prices at 0425 GMT
    Contract Last Change Pct chg Two-day chg MA 30
    RSI
    CBOT wheat 861.75 3.00 +0.35% +0.94% 812.99 64
    CBOT corn 674.25 -0.50 -0.07% +1.77% 638.76 63
    CBOT soy 1427.25 2.75 +0.19% -0.57% 1400.14 58
    CBOT rice $15.68 $0.14 +0.87% -0.76% $14.65 58
    WTI crude $87.30 -$0.18 -0.21% -2.04% $89.46 38
    Currencies
    Euro/dlr $1.361 $0.003 +0.20% +0.42%
    USD/AUD 1.014 0.001 +0.13% +0.26%
    Most active contracts
    Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel.
    Rice: USD per hundredweight
    RSI 14, exponential



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